Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Pescara win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.