Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Como had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
