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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
CL

Benevento
1 - 1
Crotone

Lapadula (13')
Glik (80'), Gaich (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Simy (90+3')
Marrone (15'), Magallan (51')
Golemic (24')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
BeneventoDrawCrotone
44.7%24.82%30.48%
Both teams to score 56.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54%46.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26%68.74%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16%20.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47%53.53%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.39%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 44.7%
    Crotone 30.48%
    Draw 24.82%
BeneventoDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.48%

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