Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.