Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.