Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.