Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Carrarese
48.91% ( 0.29)	27.42% ( 0.1)	23.68% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 43.8% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.47% (

-0.58)

60.53% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.36% (

-0.44)

80.64% (

0.45)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

-0.12)

24.92% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

-0.17)

59.55% (

0.17)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34% (

-0.7)

41.66% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87% (

-0.62)

78.14% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Modena 48.9%

Carrarese 23.68%

Draw 27.41%

Modena	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 48.9%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.68%