Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Modena had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
0.02) 
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