Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
