Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
