SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Virtus Entella | Draw | Cittadella |
| 25.32% | 25.07% | 49.61% |
| Both teams to score 51.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% | 50.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.62% |
| Virtus Entella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% | 34.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.56% | 71.43% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% | 20.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.07% | 52.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Virtus Entella | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.6% |
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