Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
