Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trapani Calcio win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Livorno had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trapani Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Livorno win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trapani Calcio would win this match.