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Serie B | Gameweek 30
Jun 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 1
Ascoli

Aramu (8'), Firenze (66')
Molinaro (64'), Caligara (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scamacca (24')
Brlek (6'), Cavion (53'), Troiano (64'), Gravillon (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawAscoli
42.58%27.65%29.77%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93%58.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25%78.74%
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03%26.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69%62.31%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92%35.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17%71.82%
Score Analysis
    Venezia 42.57%
    Ascoli 29.77%
    Draw 27.64%
VeneziaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.77%


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