Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.