Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.