Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
