Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Komarno had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Komarno win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.