Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.11) 
