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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
C

Ararat-Armenia
1 - 0
Celje

Vakulenko (111')
Vakulenko (58'), Gouffran (76')
FT
(aet)

Bozic (5'), Vrbanec (20'), Kerin (24'), Dangubic (79'), Stojinovic (95')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Celje.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Celje had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%).

Result
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawCelje
39.47%26.19%34.34%
Both teams to score 53.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97%73.03%
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54%25.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71%60.29%
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58%28.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82%64.17%
Score Analysis
    Ararat-Armenia 39.47%
    Celje 34.34%
    Draw 26.19%
Ararat-ArmeniaDrawCelje
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.47%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.34%


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