Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nafta had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nafta win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.2) 
