SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
59.35% ( 2.91) | 21.38% ( -0.81) | 19.26% ( -2.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( 0.73) | 41.7% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( 0.73) | 64.1% ( -0.73) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( 1.16) | 13.7% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.06% ( 2.25) | 40.93% ( -2.26) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( -1.68) | 35.34% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% ( -1.78) | 72.1% ( 1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.4)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.17% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.45) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.26% |
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