Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
