Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.