Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
