Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
