Hatayspor
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Ilgaz (11'), Boupendza (75', 83')
Santos (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Durmaz (65')
Roco (19'), Viviano (76'), Sabo (77'), N'Diaye (84'), Durmaz (88')
N'Diaye (86'), Sabo (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Fatih Karagumruk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
Hatayspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
58.31%	23.54%	18.15%

Both teams to score 47.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.64%

52.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.95%

74.05%

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29%

17.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63%

48.37%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.18%

42.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87%

79.13%

Score Analysis

Hatayspor 58.3%

Fatih Karagumruk 18.15%

Draw 23.53%

Hatayspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 58.3%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.43% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.15%