Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
