Rizespor's recent form has followed a pattern of one win followed by a defeat, and carrying on that record Rizespor are set for defeat this weekend after victory in the league last time out.
Fenerbahce need to secure three points against the 20th-placed side if they want to continue to push for Champions League places and after a disappointing draw last time out, there is likely to be extra motivation for the home team.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 77.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
