There is a lot on the line for both teams heading into this match and that pressure could lead to quite a cagey affair taking place.
A draw would see both teams continue to battle for progression into the next round in the final match of the group, which is something that might happen between two even squads.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
