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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 5pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
61.12%21.81%17.07%
Both teams to score 50.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96%47.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71%69.29%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1%14.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.73%43.27%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02%40.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46%77.54%
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 61.11%
    Fatih Karagumruk 17.07%
    Draw 21.8%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.11%
1-1 @ 10.37%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.45%
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.43%
1-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.07%


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