Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.33) 
