Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
We said: Fenerbahce 2-0 FC Slovacko
Slovacko are certainly capable of causing problems on Thursday evening, but we are finding it really difficult to back against Fenerbahce in the first leg and indeed in the tie. Jesus's side will be keen to move on from their Champions League disappointment, and we are expecting them to win this fairly comfortably.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for FC Slovacko had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a FC Slovacko win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | FC Slovacko |
55.13% ( -0.03) | 25.89% ( 0.01) | 18.98% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.12% ( -0.01) |
| 40.32% ( -0.02) | 59.68% ( 0.02) |
| 20.01% ( -0.02) | 79.99% ( 0.02) |
| 78.21% ( -0.02) | 21.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.01% ( -0.03) | 54.99% ( 0.03) |
| 53.85% ( 0.01) | 46.14% ( -0.01) |
