Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genclerbirligi win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genclerbirligi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genclerbirligi would win this match.