Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Genclerbirligi win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.