Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
