Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hatayspor in this match.