SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
44.49% ( -1.66) | 25.81% ( 0.18) | 29.7% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( 0.03) | 51.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( 0.03) | 72.9% ( -0.03) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.76) | 22.87% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( -1.13) | 56.61% ( 1.13) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( 1.12) | 31.45% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( 1.27) | 67.83% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.7% |
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