SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gaziantep | Draw | Hatayspor |
54.25% ( 0.46) | 24.39% ( -0.12) | 21.35% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.07) | 51.75% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( 0.07) | 73.52% ( -0.07) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0.21) | 19% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( 0.35) | 50.55% ( -0.35) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( -0.31) | 38.96% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% ( -0.29) | 75.68% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gaziantep | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.35% |
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