Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.