Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.19) 
