Istanbul Basaksehir will be looking for the three points that would clinch them a top-four spot, but with the reverse fixture finishing all square, we think the hosts will be held to a point by the champions on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
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