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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Dec 25, 2021 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
2 - 0
Altay

Donk (34'), Bozok (88')
Haspolat (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Naderi (10'), Thiam (45+3'), Pinares (46'), Karayel (65'), Rodriguez (79')
Karayel (67')

We said: Kasimpasa 1-2 Altay

We expect both sides to take the game to each other as they head into the game desperate to end their respective winless runs and this makes for an exciting affair. Altay have been decent away from home, while Kasimpasa have picked up just nine points from nine games on home turf. With that said, we are tipping the visitors to claim all three points, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Altay had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Altay win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAltay
45.69%24.71%29.6%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58%46.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3%68.7%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18%52.81%
Altay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83%29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89%65.1%
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 45.69%
    Altay 29.6%
    Draw 24.71%
KasimpasaDrawAltay
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.6%

Read more!
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