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IB
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul
2 - 1
Kasimpasa

Visca (53'), Tekdemir (90+2')
Duarte (45'), Tekdemir (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hajradinovic (78')
Travnik (76'), Hajradinovic (84'), Haspolat (90+7')

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Kasimpasa

The onus is more on the home side to take control of proceedings and secure all three points against a struggling away side. We expect Basaksehir to get the job done in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawKasimpasa
62.49%21.42%16.08%
Both teams to score 49.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.86%47.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63%69.37%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5%14.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5%42.49%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72%42.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32%78.68%
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 62.48%
    Kasimpasa 16.09%
    Draw 21.42%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawKasimpasa
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 6.34%
4-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 62.48%
1-1 @ 10.19%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.28%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 16.09%

Read more!
Read more!


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