Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BB Erzurumspor win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a BB Erzurumspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BB Erzurumspor would win this match.