Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.