Both sides have been showing signs of improvement in recent weeks, particularly Konyaspor, who managed to limit the league leaders to very few chances, so we expect Sunday's game to be very closely contested.
If any side is to come away with the three points, it is likely to be Konyaspor, given that Umraniyespor have the worst home record in the league, but the most likely result is a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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