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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
U

Kasimpasa
1 - 1
Umraniyespor

Fall (29')
Eysseric (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mrsic (41' pen.)
Goksu (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 3-0 Gaziantep
Sunday, March 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-2 Umraniyespor

In just the third-ever competitive meeting between the sides, the away side on the day has won both previous encounters, so Kasimpasa will hope they can buck that trend. Their solid home form suggests they can, but Umraniyespor are strong in attack so may cause them problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawUmraniyespor
54.37% (-0.853 -0.85) 21.94% (0.132 0.13) 23.69% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 60.58% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54% (0.197 0.2)38.46% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (0.212 0.21)60.75% (-0.216 -0.22)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.206 -0.21)14.17% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.393 -0.39)41.86% (0.389 0.39)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (0.705 0.7)29.41% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.854 0.85)65.4% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.37%
    Umraniyespor 23.69%
    Draw 21.94%
KasimpasaDrawUmraniyespor
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.37%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 23.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, March 11 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 3-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, March 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-0 Kasimpasa
Sunday, February 5 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 5-1 Giresunspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, January 29 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-3 Istanbul
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 3-0 Gaziantep
Sunday, March 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-2 Umraniyespor
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Umraniyespor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 3-2 Umraniyespor
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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