Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeni Malatyaspor would win this match.