Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for BB Erzurumspor had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a BB Erzurumspor win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.