Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.