Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Gallen in this match.